The “Chase” betting strategy on basketball match results is often used by beginners. This method is suitable for placing bets on various markets (by quarters, on totals, on odd/even, and outcomes).
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Chase Strategy in Basketball
The essence of the strategy lies in placing a series of bets on basketball match results on one pre-selected market. The series ends immediately after the first winning bet or after losing the entire allocated bankroll.
Before starting the series, the bettor must determine the bankroll amount that can be fully used throughout the betting day.
It is recommended that the first bet in the series should not exceed 2% of the initial bankroll size.
After each losing bet, a new wager is placed. The amount of each new bet should be at least twice the amount of the previous lost bet.
It’s important to distribute the bankroll so that the betting series can last up to 7 steps (bets).
Quarter Chase Strategy in Basketball
The “chase” strategy on basketball quarter outcomes has several key advantages:
- The ability to bet on both the favorite and the underdog, especially in EuroLeague or NBA games — these tournaments are known for their competitiveness and underdog resistance;
- The ability to make up to 4 bets in one match — since a basketball game consists of four equal quarters;
- The option to place bets both pre-match and live.
Chasing the Underdog by Quarters
When selecting a match for this strategy, it’s best to choose one where the bookmaker offers odds between 2.50 and 3.50 on the underdog to win the match. In this case, the odds for the underdog to win a quarter will range between 2.00 and 2.50.
When betting live on quarters, the bettor can place bets sequentially, doubling the stake each time the previous one loses — this is the classic “chase” approach.
When placing pre-match quarter bets, the bettor must make four bets at once, each subsequent one being twice the size of the previous.
An advantage of this version is the chance to win on several of the four bets placed, not just one.
Chasing the Favorite by Quarters
When selecting a match for this market, it’s advisable to pick one where the bookmaker offers pre-match odds between 1.70 and 1.90 for the favorite to win.
Important – when betting on the favorite, each subsequent stake should be 2.2 times higher than the previous losing bet.
Example: The bookmaker offers odds of 1.80 on the favorite’s win. The bettor wagers $10 on the favorite to win the first quarter but loses. On the second quarter, they place $22 on the same outcome. The bet wins. The payout is $39.60. The net profit across the two bets equals $7.60 ($39.60 − $10 − $22).
When using the “chase” strategy on the favorite in live betting, it’s important to monitor the team’s first and second quarter performances. This helps evaluate the team’s form and starting lineup. If the team fields reserves and shows low motivation, it’s best to stop the chase series for that match.
Chase Strategy on Basketball Totals
In this strategy, the bettor places bets on the total or individual total (over/under). Wagers are made on the match outcome pre-match. The specific features of live “chase” total betting or by quarters are covered in the articles on quarter strategies and live betting.
To successfully apply the “chase” strategy on totals, the bettor must:
- Select a basketball match;
- Analyze team performance for the chosen market;
- Place the first bet in the series;
- Double the next bet amount if the previous one loses;
- End the series immediately after the first win.
Chase Strategy on Odd/Even Bets
This strategy suits novice bettors.
Bettors must predict whether the total number of points scored by both teams will be odd or even.
All bets in the series are placed on the same odd/even market. After each losing bet, the stake amount doubles. The betting series ends immediately after the first win.
Chase Strategy on Match Outcomes
In this version, the bettor places a series of bets on the final result of a basketball match. They can choose among the following markets:
- Win or loss of the underdog;
- Win or loss of the favorite;
- Draw (if the bookmaker settles this outcome after regulation time);
- Bookmakers offer high odds on draws, but betting on a basketball draw is not recommended — the probability is extremely low.
For the “chase” strategy on match outcomes to be effective, the bettor must first analyze team results in the selected match to identify the optimal betting market.
Bets should be placed on a market where, in at least 60% of the last 5–10 matches, the teams produced results that would win similar bets.
The betting series follows the classic “chase” model, described earlier in the “Essence of the Chase Strategy in Basketball” section.
Conclusion
The main advantage of the “chase” betting strategy in basketball is that it allows the bettor to recover all losses from previous bets and secure a small profit after the first win in the series. To play effectively, the bettor must first determine a bankroll to be fully or partially used in the “chase” series. The first bet should not exceed 1–2% of the bankroll. Importantly, if the entire bankroll is lost, the betting day should end. Continue playing the next day with a new bankroll. This helps avoid major losses on a bad day and provides a chance to recover on another.
