The final score of a tennis match is limited by the number of sets won. To win a match, a tennis player must take two sets (in some tournaments, three). These conditions make tennis matches attractive to bettors on the “exact score” market. To place successful wagers, cappers use a variety of proven strategies.
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Essence of the strategy and available markets
The strategy involves placing a bet on the exact score of the match. In matches played up to two sets won, one player can win by 2:0 or 2:1. In tournaments of the Grand Slam series, the match continues until one player wins three sets, with possible outcomes being 3:0, 3:1, or 3:2.
Within the exact score betting strategy, the capper has access to the following markets:
- exact match score by sets;
- exact score of games within a set;
- exact score of points within a game.
The second and third markets offer much higher variability in results, which is why experienced bettors rarely use them in exact score strategies.
Exact score betting strategies in tennis
Experienced bettors use several effective methods for betting on exact tennis match scores by sets:
- “2:0 score” strategy;
- “2:1 score” strategy.
“2:0 score”
To select a suitable tennis match, it is recommended to consider the following criteria:
- the match features a favorite and an underdog;
- in the last 5–10 matches, the favorite has won by 2:0 in at least 60% of games;
- the favorite is playing on a surface that suits his strengths;
- the bookmaker offers odds of 1.1–1.5 for the overall match win and 1.5–2.4 for a 2:0 scoreline.
This strategy is optimal for a betting series. The bettor should define the total bankroll in advance. The first bet should equal 2–3% of the total bankroll. If the first wager loses, a second bet should be placed on the same market, with the stake doubled from the previous one.
“2:1 score”
To select a suitable tennis match, the following recommendations are advised:
- the player you are betting on is playing on a court surface favorable to his playing style;
- the match is not part of a qualifying round;
- if the bet is made live, the player you are betting on should have lost the first set;
- if the bet is placed pre-match, the players should be of roughly equal strength and in good form—ideal for later rounds such as finals, semifinals, or quarterfinals;
- the player you back has won by 2:1 in at least 60% of his last 5–10 matches.
How to select a match for the exact score strategy
When choosing matches for the exact score betting strategy, consider the following parameters:
- the athlete’s current form and physical condition — a player who sustained a minor injury in the previous round could unexpectedly lose;
- head-to-head record — even a favorite may consistently struggle against an opponent with an unfavorable matchup history;
- court surface — a player competing on an unsuitable surface may perform poorly, even against an underdog playing on his preferred surface;
- tournament prestige — in high-profile tournaments, favorites will exert maximum effort to secure victory.
