Bookmakers offer the highest odds on correct score bets. These attract both beginners and experienced cappers with the promise of large potential winnings. While most newcomers tend to lose such bets, experienced players who use the “Correct Score” strategy can achieve consistent success.
The Essence of the “Correct Score” Strategy
The essence of the strategy lies in placing a “fan-style” bet on a single sporting event. This type of wager involves selecting six of the most likely outcomes. In football, these are typically: “1:0”, “0:0”, “0:1”, “1:1”, “2:1”, “2:0”.
The optimal way to allocate the bankroll across the betting line is as follows:
- 30% on the outcome the capper considers most probable;
- 20% on two outcomes with a high chance of success;
- 10% on three outcomes with lower chances of success.
When choosing an event, preference should be given to leagues known for low-scoring games (in football, for example, Serie A in Italy). The teams should be roughly equal in strength and tend to win by minimal margins (for instance, Atlético Madrid in Spain, or Juventus, Roma, and Verona in Italy).
Pros and Cons of the “Correct Score” Strategy
The “Correct Score” strategy has both advantages and drawbacks. The main disadvantages are the element of randomness, the need for thorough statistical analysis (to select suitable opponents), and the risk of losing the entire bankroll if none of the chosen scores wins.
The advantages include:
- High success rate for winning bets;
- High bookmaker odds;
- A wide selection of events to bet on.
Example of Using the Strategy
A player allocated a bankroll of 10 USD to place bets using the “Correct Score” strategy on the “Sevilla” vs “Roma” match in the 2019/2020 UEFA Europa League Round of 16.
The bookmaker’s odds for the main score outcomes were as follows:
| Score | Odds | Score | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1:0 | 8.90 | 1:1 | 6.35 |
| 0:0 | 9.60 | 2:0 | 11.25 |
| 0:1 | 12.25 | 2:1 | 8.80 |
The bettor placed $3 on the first result, $2 each on the second and third results, and $1 each on the remaining three scores. The total amount of all bets equaled the bankroll ($10). If outcomes 1, 2, 3, 5, or 6 won, the bettor would make a profit. If outcome No. 4 won, the player would incur a loss of $3.65 ($10 − ($1 × 6.35)).
The match ended 2:0 in favor of Sevilla. The winning bet was No. 5, bringing the bettor a payout of $11.25 ($1 × 11.25). The net profit from the wager was $1.25 ($11.25 − $10).
